Recent SPX precog forecasts
We had a good Friday, it kinda made the week for the forecasts.
Latest week SPX bar chart
Next-Session forecasts
By now there have been
358 forecasts with ITK (Implied via Telekinesis), by way of physical dice and Remote Influence.
339 forecasts with Divination, by way of Thoth Tarot deck.
144 forecasts with Generalized Psi Expectation (S*), by way of 1million random number generator iterations with Remote Influence.
Total number of half-day forecasts performed since inception: 583
182 Composite Forecasts by simple average, C^
150 Composite Forecasts by majority vote, C[M]
1-week forecasts
There’s been 69 1-week forecasts for each method applied, since 16th of Sept.
Total number of 1-week forecasts performed since inception: 69 x3= 207
Since I took a week off. We’ll have to wait til next week to have new performance stats for the 1-week forecasts from this week.
Implied Expected Values each business day
*Since the aim of the forecasts is to produce +EV (Positive Expected Value) biases, I would NOT expect the average win rate to deviate far from 50%. You shouldn’t either, if your goal is to make money from trades.
Precog next-day forecast IEVs
Precog 1-week forecast IEVs
Hedge Fund benchmark IEVs from HFR, within the same period